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Prediction markets
571 active markets
· category “Politics”
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How to trade
How long will Trump and Xi shake hands when they meet?
10–15s
99%
15s+
1%
5 more
$1.41M
Vol.
Dec 31
politics
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
55 trading now
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
2%
chance
Yes
No
$7.31M
Vol.
Jul 15
politics
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
54 trading now
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?
June 30, 2027
56%
December 31
38%
4 more
$1.48M
Vol.
Dec 31
politics
Potential payout
$25
→
$45
57 trading now
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?
99%
chance
Yes
No
$455K
Vol.
Dec 31
politics
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
46 trading now
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
63%
chance
Yes
No
$4.10M
Vol.
Dec 31
politics
Potential payout
$25
→
$40
52 trading now
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by...?
June 30
99%
December 31
99%
1 more
$468K
Vol.
Dec 31
politics
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
46 trading now
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
12%
chance
Yes
No
$12.3M
Vol.
Jul 31
politics
Potential payout
$25
→
$217
58 trading now
Brazil Presidential Election
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
62%
Flávio Bolsonaro
22%
30 more
$110.4M
Vol.
Oct 4
politics
Potential payout
$25
→
$41
70 trading now
Galway-West By-Election Winner?
Seán Kyne
99%
Sheila Garrity
1%
25 more
$257K
Vol.
Mar 31
politics
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
49 trading now
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by...?
73%
chance
Yes
No
$121K
Vol.
Jul 31
politics
Potential payout
$25
→
$34
50 trading now
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
4%
chance
Yes
No
$38.1M
Vol.
Dec 31
politics
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
73 trading now
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
89%
chance
Yes
No
$146K
Vol.
Dec 31
politics
Potential payout
$25
→
$28
44 trading now
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