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Prediction markets
8 active markets
· category “OpenAI”
How it works
How to trade
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
1%
chance
Yes
No
$1.08M
Vol.
Dec 31
openai
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
51 trading now
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
None in 2026
80%
Anthropic
12%
30 more
$109K
Vol.
Dec 31
openai
Potential payout
$25
→
$31
51 trading now
Largest private company end of July?
Anthropic
97%
OpenAI
1%
9 more
$18K
Vol.
Aug 1
openai
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
50 trading now
Next OpenAI Model: Arena Debut?
1450+
95%
1470+
71%
3 more
$153K
Vol.
Dec 31
openai
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
47 trading now
2nd largest private company end of July?
OpenAI
96%
Stripe
2%
9 more
$6.5K
Vol.
Aug 1
openai
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
45 trading now
Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by July 31?
↑$875B
99%
↑$900B
70%
8 more
$12K
Vol.
Aug 1
openai
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
48 trading now
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
19%
chance
Yes
No
$61K
Vol.
Dec 31
openai
Potential payout
$25
→
$135
49 trading now
3rd largest private company end of July?
Stripe
83%
Lambda
44%
9 more
$3.9K
Vol.
Aug 1
openai
Potential payout
$25
→
$30
42 trading now
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